- Gold price struggles to capitalize on its weekly gains registered over the past two days.
- The optimism over US-China trade talks is seen weighing on the safe-haven commodity.
- Investors now look to the crucial FOMC policy decision for a fresh directional impetus.
Gold price (XAU/USD) recovers slightly from the Asian session low, around the $3,360 area, though maintains its offered tone amid the latest optimism over the announcement of the US-China trade talks in Switzerland this week. Apart from this, some repositioning trades ahead of the key central bank event risk assists the US Dollar (USD) to gain some positive traction, which is seen as another factor undermining the commodity.
The USD bulls, however, seem reluctant to place aggressive bets and opt to wait for the outcome of the highly-anticipated two-day FOMC policy meeting. Furthermore, persistent geopolitical risks stemming from the protracted Russia-Ukraine war, conflicts in the Middle East, and a military escalation along the India-Pakistan border act as a tailwind for the safe-haven bullion. This, in turn, warrants some caution for the XAU/USD bears.
Daily Digest Market Movers: Gold price bears seem non-committed amid geopolitical risks, ahead of FOMC decision
- US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer are set to meet their Chinese counterparts in Switzerland on Saturday to discuss trade and economic issues. This marks the first direct talks since the US imposed tariffs on China and a step toward resolving a trade war between the world’s two largest economies.
- Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump said on Tuesday that he and top administration officials will review potential trade deals over the next two weeks to decide which ones to accept. This, however, counters Trump’s earlier statement that his administration could announce trade deals with some countries as soon as this week.
- Furthermore, Trump had announced 100% tariffs on movies produced outside the US and also indicated that he plans to announce fresh tariffs on pharmaceutical imports over the next two weeks. This keeps investors on the edge and might continue to act as a tailwind for the safe-haven Gold price amid rising geopolitical risks.
- A Kremlin spokesman says Russia will stick to its plans for a unilaterally-imposed ceasefire between 8 and 11 May but warned that an appropriate response will be given immediately if Ukraine does not also halt the fire. Meanwhile, Russia and Ukraine swapped 205 prisoners of war each in an exchange mediated by the United Arab Emirates.
- Israel’s security Cabinet unanimously approved a plan to widen the military offensive in Gaza. The plan involves the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) invading and gradually seizing control of Gaza territory. Although no formal details were announced, officials said the operation would not begin until after Trump’s visit to the Middle East next week.
- Investors keenly await the Federal Reserve’s decision later this Wednesday. The accompanying monetary policy statement and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments at the post-meeting press conference will be scrutinized for cues about the future rate-cut path. This will drive the US Dollar demand and influence the non-yielding yellow metal.
Gold price needs to break below the $3,360 area to support prospects for a further intraday depreciating move
From a technical perspective, the overnight sustained breakout through the $3,360-3,365 horizontal barrier and a subsequent move beyond the $3,400 mark was seen as a fresh trigger for bulls. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart are holding comfortably in positive territory, suggesting that the path of least resistance for the Gold price is to the upside. However, the strong uptrend witnessed since the beginning of this week falters near the $3,430-3,435 resistance. The said area should now act as a pivotal point, above which the XAU/USD could aim to challenge the all-time peak touched in April and conquer the $3,500 psychological mark.
On the flip side, weakness below the $3,365-3,360 area could find some support near the $3,328-3,327 region ahead of the $3,300 round figure. Failure to defend the said support levels would negate the near-term positive outlook and make the Gold price vulnerable. The downward trajectory might then drag the XAU/USD pair to the $3,265-$3,260 intermediate support en route to the $3,223-3,222 region and the last week’s swing low, around the $3,200 neighborhood.
US Dollar PRICE Today
The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 0.12% | 0.12% | 0.52% | 0.10% | 0.16% | 0.09% | 0.35% | |
| EUR | -0.12% | 0.00% | 0.42% | -0.01% | 0.05% | -0.03% | 0.24% | |
| GBP | -0.12% | -0.00% | 0.42% | -0.01% | 0.05% | -0.03% | 0.24% | |
| JPY | -0.52% | -0.42% | -0.42% | -0.43% | -0.37% | -0.39% | -0.15% | |
| CAD | -0.10% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.43% | 0.07% | -0.01% | 0.25% | |
| AUD | -0.16% | -0.05% | -0.05% | 0.37% | -0.07% | -0.08% | 0.17% | |
| NZD | -0.09% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.39% | 0.01% | 0.08% | 0.27% | |
| CHF | -0.35% | -0.24% | -0.24% | 0.15% | -0.25% | -0.17% | -0.27% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).
