This article provides a comprehensive overview of the USCRUDE trading instrument, addressing crucial components such as the current state of the oil market, influential factors affecting oil price shifts, and future forecasts. The outlook for oil prices employs a multifaceted approach, encompassing fundamental and technical analysis to provide a nuanced and informed market assessment.

In addition, the article offers a detailed long-term trading strategy, empowering investors to accurately identify optimal entry and exit points, thereby minimizing risk while maximizing returns. Furthermore, the article draws upon the insights of industry experts and examines prevailing sentiments on social media concerning crude oil prices, offering a well-rounded and informed analysis of the current and future state of the oil market.

The article covers the following subjects:

Major Takeaways

  • The current price of oil is $57.880 as of 23.12.2025.
  • Oil reached its all-time high of $147.27 on 11.07.2008. Oil’s all-time low of $-40.32 was recorded on 20.04.2020.
  • Oil represents one of the most liquid assets in global markets, traded in US dollars.
  • The leading oil exporters are Saudi Arabia, Russia, and the US, which provide a significant share of global supply.
  • Oil reserves in strategic storage facilities of OECD countries remain an essential factor affecting crude oil price performance.
  • USCrude: According to technical analysis, oil extended its medium-term downtrend, reaching the second bearish target for the trades opened at the resistance A 61.95–61.40.

Oil Real-Time Market Status

Oil is trading at $57.880 as of 23.12.2025.

To make informed decisions, it is essential to closely monitor key indicators that reflect the current oil price landscape, including historical trends and investment potential. By leveraging this comprehensive data set, you can assess market trends, identify correlations with macroeconomic factors, and forecast price changes.

Indicator

Value

All-time low

$-40.32

All-time high

$147.27

Price change over the last 12 months

-13%

Proven US oil reserves

407.745 million barrels 

Oil Weekly Price Forecast as of 22.12.2025

Oil is maintaining its medium-term downtrend. Last week, the price plunged below the October low. This means the asset may drop to the Target Zone 4, 52.17–51.54.

Short trades can be considered during a correction at the resistance A, 61.03–60.47, with the first target at 57.94 and the second one at last week’s low of 54.87.

If the oil price consolidates above the resistance A, the correction will continue to the trend boundary 64.11–63.27.

USCrude Trading Ideas for the Week:

Sell at resistance A 61.03–60.47. TakeProfit: 57.94, 54.87. StopLoss: 62.44.

Technical analysis based on the margin zones methodology is presented by an independent analyst, Alex Rodionov.

Oil Price Forecast for 2025-2026 Based on Technical Analysis

USCRUDE’s price has bounced off the local support at $56 after a prolonged decline and is beginning to recover. The price remains below the SMA50 and SMA200, but the smoothing of the moving averages suggests the market is gradually shifting toward a more balanced state.

MACD is hovering near the zero line, suggesting a transition into an accumulation phase. RSI is moving into the neutral zone, showing growing buying interest. By late December, the price may rise to the $65–$66 resistance area. In 2026, the market is expected to move sideways with moderate volatility.

Below is the USCrude forecast for the next 12 months.

Month

Min. price, $

Average price, $

Max. price, $

December 2025

61.20

63.80

66.00

January 2026

60.50

63.10

65.20

February 2026

60.10

62.70

64.80

March 2026

60.40

63.00

65.10

April 2026

59.90

62.40

64.60

May 2026

60.20

62.80

65.00

June 2026

59.70

62.30

64.40

July 2026

60.00

62.60

64.80

August 2026

59.80

62.20

64.50

September 2026

60.10

62.70

64.90

October 2026

59.90

62.40

64.70

November 2026

60.20

62.80

65.00

Long-Term Trading Plan for USCRUDE for 2025-2026

Until the end of 2025, long positions can be opened from the $56 support level, with profit targets in the $65–$66 area. After that, the market is expected to move sideways with moderate volatility.

In 2026, the asset can be bought on pullbacks to local support levels, with profits taken near the upper boundary of the trading range.

Analysts’ Oil Price Projections for 2025

Analysts differ in their expectations for 2025. Some experts anticipate rising oil prices, while others expect a decline to $48.04.

WalletInvestor

Price range: $57.818 – $59.03 (as of 19.11.2025).

WalletInvestor projects a restrained upward movement. Volatility is expected to remain low, with no sharp bullish spikes.

Month

Min. price, $

Average price, $

Max. price, $

December

57.818

58.83

59.037

LongForecast

Price range: $56.65 – $67.24 (as of 19.11.2025).

LongForecast‘s analysts expect oil to trade within a wide price range. According to their projections, periods of growth are likely to alternate with local pullbacks. The price may rise to $67.24.

Month

Min. price, $

Average price, $

Max. price, $

December

56.65

61.45

67.24

CoinCodex 

Price range: $48.04 – $50.63 (as of 19.11.2025).

CoinCodex expects oil to trade within a narrow range. The price is projected to decline moderately.

Month

Min. price, $

Average price, $

Max. price, $

December

48.04

49.90

50.63

Analysts’ Oil Price Projections for 2026

USCRUDE forecasts for 2026 factor in overall market activity and potential shifts in oil demand. Some projections expect the price to strengthen gradually, while others anticipate increased volatility in the second half of the year.


Note: The price ranges reflect the asset's expected volatility throughout the year. Lows and highs may not be shown in the summary tables.

WalletInvestor

Price range: $56.114 – $66.784 (as of 19.11.2025).

Analysts at WalletInvestor expect moderate growth, with a possible downward correction in the second half of the year.

Quarter

Min. price, $

Average price, $

Max. price, $

Q1

59.221

61.22

63.411

Q2

62.963

64.62

66.777

Q3

62.144

64.03

66.784

Q4

56.114

58.94

62.310

LongForecast

Price range: $52.79 – $68.67 (as of 19.11.2025).

According to LongForecast‘s experts, the market may move through alternating phases of growth and correction. Volatility is expected to increase gradually.

Quarter

Min. price, $

Average price, $

Max. price, $

Q1

52.79

58.52

63.78

Q2

55.57

62.37

68.67

Q3

56.39

61.12

65.77

Q4

57.95

62.55

67.64

CoinCodex

Price range: $44.51 – $177.77 (as of 19.11.2025).

CoinCodex expects modest growth with low volatility at the beginning of the year. However, in the second half, the price may surge sharply to the $177.77 high.

Quarter

Min. price, $

Average price, $

Max. price, $

Q1

44.51

49.03

52.58

Q2

47.70

50.96

53.23

Q3

51.66

99.94

177.77

Q4

102.51

129.58

157.06

Analysts’ Oil Price Projections for 2027

Forecasts for 2027 take possible changes in market conditions into account. Throughout the year, the market may go through periods of both growth and decline.

WalletInvestor

Price range: $54.376 – $65.094 (as of 19.11.2025).

WalletInvestor analysts expect oil prices to rise gradually. In the second half of the year, they allow for a potential price weakening.

Quarter

Min. price, $

Average price, $

Max. price, $

Q1

57.419

59.40

61.670

Q2

61.250

63.39

65.039

Q3

61.105

61.74

65.094

Q4

54.376

56.49

60.574

LongForecast

Price range: $50.62 – $67.29 (as of 19.11.2025).

According to LongForecast‘s experts, the price may decline gradually in the first half of the year. However, by December, it may recover to $65.10. The forecast suggests moderate volatility.

Quarter

Min. price, $

Average price, $

Max. price, $

Q1

53.58

60.20

67.29

Q2

51.59

55.99

60.18

Q3

50.62

56.07

61.30

Q4

52.12

58.45

65.10

CoinCodex

Price range: $75.28 – $119.21 (as of 19.11.2025).

CoinCodex‘s experts expect a bearish trend accompanied by high volatility. A slight increase may occur by summer, but afterward the average price is projected to decline to $81.31.

Quarter

Min. price, $

Average price, $

Max. price, $

Q1

87.14

99.02

118.48

Q2

92.22

112.00

119.21

Q3

76.09

94.27

110.54

Q4

75.28

81.31

89.57

Analysts’ Oil Price Projections for 2028

Forecasts for 2028 take into account potential demand fluctuations and seasonal factors, which is why the expected price ranges vary considerably. Overall, some months may show upward movement, while others may see the price drift lower.

WalletInvestor

Price range: $52.655 – $63.395 (as of 19.11.2025).

WalletInvestor‘s analysts expect a gradual rise. No sharp spikes are anticipated. A downward correction is expected toward the end of the year.

Quarter

Min. price, $

Average price, $

Max. price, $

Q1

55.825

57.50

60.014

Q2

59.553

61.80

63.395

Q3

58.742

59.97

63.247

Q4

52.655

54.67

58.884

LongForecast

Price range: $48.89 – $64.95 (as of 19.11.2025).

According to LongForecast, the year may be volatile: the price may fall at first and then gradually rise to the $64.95 high. By year-end, the price may settle around $58.

Quarter

Min. price, $

Average price, $

Max. price, $

Q1

48.89

53.99

58.66

Q2

55.12

59.07

64.95

Q3

53.45

57.50

61.67

Q4

49.23

54.76

58.00

CoinCodex

Price range: $61.21 – $75.73 (as of 19.11.2025).

CoinCodex expects oil prices to rise gradually after a slight decline at the beginning of the year. By December, the average price may reach $66.33.

Quarter

Min. price, $

Average price, $

Max. price, $

Q1

61.21

67.47

75.73

Q2

63.51

66.61

72.96

Q3

64.14

68.46

73.74

Q4

63.24

66.33

70.74

Analysts’ Oil Price Projections for 2029

Expert assessments continue to diverge. Some analysts expect oil prices to trade within a narrow range, while others anticipate an impulsive rise.

WalletInvestor

Price range: $50.954 – $61.688 (as of 19.11.2025).

WalletInvestor‘s analysts expect prices to rise gradually in the first half of the year. However, the price may decline afterward, and by year-end, the average level may reach $52.99.

Quarter

Min. price, $

Average price, $

Max. price, $

Q1

54.024

56.05

58.336

Q2

57.872

59.89

61.688

Q3

57.046

58.46

61.579

Q4

50.954

52.99

57.184

LongForecast

Price range: $40.47 – $61.82 (as of 19.11.2025).

LongForecast predicts high volatility. The price may fall in the first half of the year, but it is expected to recover later on.

Quarter

Min. price, $

Average price, $

Max. price, $

Q1

49.04

51.69

57.78

Q2

40.47

46.39

62.30

Q3

44.21

49.96

54.81

Q4

52.47

56.52

61.82

CoinCodex

Price range: $69.59 – $131.42 (as of 19.11.2025).

The CoinCodex platform forecasts an impulsive rise. High volatility is expected, and the price may reach a maximum of $131.42 in the fourth quarter.

Quarter

Min. price, $

Average price, $

Max. price, $

Q1

69.59

82.84

94.12

Q2

82.77

86.35

93.17

Q3

87.65

91.59

102.43

Q4

103.28

115.72

131.42

Analysts’ Oil Price Projections for 2030

Experts offer different scenarios for 2030. Some expect a rally with new all-time highs, while others anticipate more modest appreciation with low volatility.

WalletInvestor

Price range: $52.272 – $59.973 (as of 19.11.2025).

WalletInvestor‘s analysts expect prices to rise gradually in the first half of the year. However, the average price may decline to $52.89 toward the end of the year.

Quarter

Min. price, $

Average price, $

Max. price, $

Q1

52.272

55.39

56.631

Q2

56.177

58.34

59.973

Q3

55.334

56.51

59.906

Q4

52.509

52.89

55.479

CoinPriceForecast

Price range: $51.54 – $55.76 (as of 19.11.2025).

According to CoinPriceForecast, the price may rise gradually. No major price swings are anticipated.

Year

Mid-Year, $

End of Year, $

2030

51.54

55.76

CoinCodex

Price range: $110.57 – $275.30 (as of 19.11.2025).

CoinCodex expects a rapid rise. The price may climb to $275 by the end of the first half of the year. High volatility is projected.

Quarter

Min. price, $

Average price, $

Max. price, $

Q1

110.57

129.45

152.27

Q2

143.04

211.11

275.30

Q3

147.49

179.42

219.96

Q4

144.92

161.26

176.95

Analysts’ Oil Price Projections up to 2050

According to long-term USCRUDE forecasts, oil prices are expected to rise gradually. However, analysts differ in their estimates of the pace of growth.

CoinPriceForecast expects a smooth increase in USCRUDE prices. According to their projections, the price will range between $75–$76 in 2034 and rise to $93–$97 by 2037.

CoinCodex believes that the average price may reach around $347 by 2040. They project that the rally will continue afterward, with the price surpassing $1,000 by 2050.

Year

CoinPriceForecast, $

CoinCodex, $

2034

76.33

2037

96.70

2040

346.92

2050

1,064.62

It is important to remember that long-term forecasts are highly uncertain. Before making trading or investment decisions, it is essential to conduct both technical and fundamental analysis and review up-to-date expert insights.

Market Sentiment for Oil (USCRUDE) on Social Media

Media sentiment shapes the market’s overall emotional backdrop and often accelerates short-term movements. Discussions on social networks can amplify impulses and influence how traders view potential market shifts. In periods of uncertainty, traders’ reactions may trigger sharp price increases or declines.

User @cycle_strategy notes signs of strengthening in oil prices after the recent pullback. They expect a short consolidation period, followed by potential upward movement.

User @RigDelta believes that oil prices will continue to fall. A pullback from key resistance is possible.

Overall, social media sentiment is mixed: some participants expect gradual strengthening, while others anticipate further declines. It is advisable to act cautiously before making trading decisions and to conduct additional fundamental analysis.

Oil Price History (USCrude)

Oil (USCrude) reached its all-time high of $147.27 on 11.07.2008.

The lowest price of oil (USCrude) was recorded on 20.04.2020 and reached $-40.32.

Below is a chart showing the performance of USCrude quotes over the last ten years. In this connection, it is important to evaluate historical data to make predictions as accurate as possible.

The USCrude price has displayed considerable volatility since 2003, reflecting economic and political developments worldwide. In 2008, oil prices surged to an all-time high of $147 per barrel, driven by rising demand in developing countries and constrained supply. However, the global financial crisis triggered a significant drop in prices, reaching $40, one of the steepest declines in history.

In 2014–2015, the price of oil substantially declined due to an oversupply in the market and a surge in shale oil production in the US. This marked a pivotal shift in the industry’s landscape and the global oil trade sector.

In 2020, the global oil demand experienced a significant decline due to the impact of the pandemic, resulting in a temporary decline in crude prices below zero.

Since 2021, the market has demonstrated signs of recovery, accompanied by a gradual increase in oil consumption. By 2022, the price of US Crude oil ranged between $70 and $120 per barrel, reflecting prevailing geopolitical tensions, supply constraints, and skyrocketing inflation.

Since early 2024, USCrude has shown significant volatility. In the first quarter, prices climbed to $87.10 due to geopolitical tensions and rising demand expectations. However, from the second quarter through the end of the year, the price fell to $75.71, pressured by increased production and recession fears.

The downtrend gained momentum in the early months of 2025. By early May, the asset’s price had fallen to $55.04. By mid-June, it climbed to $76.59, but since August, it has been gradually declining.

In autumn, the asset traded within a broad range of $58.00–$75.00.

Oil Price Fundamental Analysis (USCrude)

Fundamental analysis is the key to understanding the factors that influence oil prices. This section focuses on the economic, political, and environmental factors that determine supply and demand, as well as the fluctuations in the value of US Crude in the global market. Understanding these aspects provides a more accurate assessment of the asset’s long-term prospects. The analysis also includes an evaluation of the impact of energy policy and technological advancements in the industry.

What Factors Affect the Oil Price?

The price of oil is shaped by a variety of fundamental factors that reflect the state of the global economy and geopolitical environment:

  • The level of global oil demand, especially in the major economies.

  • The volume of oil production by the largest oil-producing countries.

  • Oil reserves in strategic storage facilities.

  • Political stability in oil-rich regions.

  • Transportation costs and infrastructure constraints.

  • The exchange rate of the US dollar, as oil is quoted in the US currency.

  • Development of alternative energy sources and environmental initiatives.

  • Force majeure, including natural and technological disasters.

  • Seasonal changes in fuel demand, especially during heating and summer periods.

  • Government subsidies or tax policies that affect the cost of oil production and transportation.

These factors play a key role in determining oil prices. They should be considered when making short- and long-term forecasts.

More Facts About Oil

Oil is a valuable natural resource that plays a key role in the world economy. This versatile hydrocarbon product is used in the production of fuel, plastics, chemicals, and electricity. Crude oil is classified into different types, including Brent, WTI, and Dubai benchmark grades, each with its own characteristics and designated applications.

Oil is extracted in various regions worldwide, with Saudi Arabia, Russia, the United States, and Canada being the leading producers. The primary extraction methods include conventional drilling and shale oil extraction. Transportation is facilitated through pipelines, tankers, and railroad trains.

The pricing of oil is influenced by a variety of factors, including supply and demand shifts, geopolitical events, and decisions made by organizations such as OPEC. It is traded on global exchanges, such as NYMEX and ICE.

The history of oil spans more than 150 years, beginning with the first commercial production in 1859 in the US. Despite the emergence of alternative energy sources such as solar and wind power, oil continues to dominate the global energy landscape.

Advantages and Disadvantages of Investing in USCrude

Investing in oil is a common strategy for diversifying an investment portfolio, given its high liquidity and profit potential. However, it is essential for investors to carefully assess the risks associated with price volatility and external factors.

Advantages

  • High liquidity: oil is actively traded on global exchanges, making it easy to buy and sell.

  • Growth potential: oil prices can rise significantly on the back of increased demand, especially during an economic recovery

  • Inflation hedging: investing in oil can help safeguard a portfolio against inflation and the potential loss of purchasing power.

  • Portfolio diversification: investing in oil reduces overall risk by adding commodity assets that are not correlated with equities.

  • Opportunity for speculation: the high volatility of oil provides ample opportunity for short-term strategies, allowing you to capitalize on sharp changes in quotes.

  • Global importance: oil remains a key commodity for the global economy, ensuring its stable demand.

Disadvantages

  • High volatility: oil prices are subject to sharp fluctuations due to external factors such as crises or changes in demand.

  • Dependence on geopolitics: instability in oil-producing regions can lead to sharp price changes, representing an additional risk.

  • Environmental risks: growing environmental requirements may limit production and increase production and transportation costs.

  • Long-term uncertainty: alternative energy may reduce oil demand, affecting its prospects as an asset.

  • Limited access: for retail investors, access to oil markets may be restricted by the intricacies of futures trading.

  • Dependence on macroeconomic factors: economic downturns or slowdowns can adversely impact the value of USCrude.

Investing in oil can present both significant opportunities for high returns and considerable risks. Consequently, it is essential to carefully consider global economic and political factors while monitoring trends within the energy industry to make informed investment decisions.

How We Make Forecasts

The forecasting methodology involves analyzing data over three time horizons: short, medium, and long term. Each approach employs specific tools and analysis methods.

Short-term forecasts

Short-term forecasts rely on technical indicators such as moving averages, the RSI, and support and resistance levels. In addition, relevant news and geopolitical events help predict short-term price swings.

Medium-term forecasts

The medium-term outlook focuses on key fundamental data, including production volumes, oil reserves, and economic indicators such as demand in major economies. Seasonal changes in supply and demand are also evaluated.

Long-term forecasts

Long-term forecasts are based on a comprehensive assessment of global trends, including the transition to green energy, changes in OPEC policies, and technological advancements. In addition, price history analysis and scenario modeling complement the outlook.

This comprehensive approach allows us to consider various factors affecting the oil market and deliver precise forecasts.

Conclusion: Is Oil a Good Investment?

Investing in oil is not an easy task — everything depends on your investment goals and risk tolerance, given the current global economic environment. Oil remains in high demand, but its prices are heavily influenced by geopolitical factors, production levels, demand, and the spread of renewable energy sources.

Investing in oil companies or funds can be profitable, especially during strong WTI uptrends. However, such investments carry significant risks. Before investing in oil, carefully study the market, assess your risks, and consider diversifying your investment portfolio.

Oil Price Prediction FAQs

The content of this article reflects the author’s opinion and does not necessarily reflect the official position of LiteFinance broker. The material published on this page is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Directive 2014/65/EU.


According to copyright law, this article is considered intellectual property, which includes a prohibition on copying and distributing it without consent.

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