1. AUD/JPY Pulls Back from 114.74 — The Bull Trend Is Still Intact
The AUDJPY Daily Analysis 14th May 2026 is a trend-continuation story with a one-day pause. Open: 114.608. High: 114.662. Low: 114.278. Current: 114.550. Yesterday session printed a 114.740 high — a fresh 3-week peak. Today pullback to 114.278 is the first meaningful retracement since Monday. The AUD/JPY price forecast for 14th May 2026: bullish above 114.278. This is a buy-the-dip opportunity, not a reversal. The combination of AUD strength and JPY weakness has been a one-way trade since May 8. That dynamic has not changed.
ICT context: The daily structure from May 8 shows five consecutive higher-lows: 112.954, 113.070, 113.392, 114.024, 114.278 (today). Each daily low is higher than the last. This is textbook bullish progression. The 4H shows the current dip finding support at 114.278 — aligned with the 4H bullish OB at 114.247-114.308 from Wednesday consolidation zone. The sellers tried; the buyers absorbed. Current price: 114.550, well off the low.
2. Daily and 4H Structure — Five Higher Lows in Five Days
| Session | Open | High | Low | Close | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu May 8 | 113.108 | 113.599 | 112.954 | 113.555 | Week low base |
| Mon May 11 | 113.095 | 114.005 | 113.070 | 113.978 | BOS above 113.599 |
| Tue May 12 | 113.934 | 114.130 | 113.392 | 114.118 | Higher base higher close |
| Wed May 13 | 114.118 | 114.740 | 114.024 | 114.600 | New 3-week high |
| Thu May 14 | 114.608 | 114.662 | 114.278 | 114.550 (live) | Pullback; higher low intact |
Five sessions of higher-lows. The trend is clear. The 4H OB at 114.247-114.308 absorbed today dip to 114.278. The close at 114.550 is bullish recovery. Next target: 114.740 (yesterday high). Beyond that, 115.000 is the psychological target.
3. ICT Key Levels
- 4H Bullish OB: 114.247-114.308 — Wednesday consolidation base; absorbed today dip
- Higher-Low Level: 114.278 — key level; holding above = bull bias confirmed
- Daily Support: 114.024 — Wednesday daily low; break = trend pause not reversal
- Intraday Resistance: 114.662-114.740 — session high plus prior day high; short-term ceiling
- Psychological Target: 115.000 — round number; smart money target for the week
- Weekly Low: 112.954 — May 8 base; origin of the bull trend
- Risk: Risk-off event (geopolitical, equity sell-off) = AUD and JPY both move, but JPY moves faster — net bearish AUDJPY
4. Bull vs Bear
- Bullish (primary): Buy 114.280-114.310 on 4H OB test. Target: 114.662 then 114.740. Stop: 114.150. R:R ~2.5:1.
- Bullish (continuation): 4H close above 114.662 — 114.740 then 115.000. Entry: 114.680. Target: 115.000. Stop: 114.278.
- Bearish (only on structure break): 4H close below 114.247 = warning. Close below 114.024 = trend pause. Until then: no shorts against a five-day higher-low sequence.
5. Support and Resistance Table
| Level | Price | Type | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| R3 | 115.000 | Psychological | Round number target |
| R2 | 114.740 | Weekly High | Prior day 3-week high |
| R1 | 114.662 | Intraday Resistance | Session high |
| Current | 114.550 | — | Recovering from dip |
| S1 | 114.278-114.308 | 4H OB | Session low; active demand |
| S2 | 114.024 | Daily Low | Wednesday low |
| S3 | 113.392-113.555 | Weekly OB | May 12/8 base zone |
6. Trade Setup
- Long (dip buy — primary): Buy 114.285-114.310 with 15M bullish BOS confirmation. Target: 114.662 then 114.740. Stop: 114.150. R:R ~2.5:1.
- Long (add on breakout): Add above 114.662. Target: 115.000. Stop: 114.278.
- Note: AUDJPY moves fast. Use tight stops and realistic targets. This pair can do 100 pips in an hour on risk events.
7. Bottom Line — Buy the Dip, Eye the 115 Handle
The AUDJPY intraday analysis for 14th May 2026 is bullish. Five higher-lows in five sessions. The 4H OB at 114.247-114.308 absorbed today dip perfectly. The trend is intact. The target is 114.740 first, then 115.000. The only thing that stops this trade is a risk-off event that sends JPY surging. If equity markets stay calm, AUDJPY stays bid. We will be back at the London open. The bull trend will probably still be running — it has been at it all week.
