AUDJPY Daily Analysis 25th May 2026 — London Sweeps 113.746, Recovers Clean to HOD
AUDJPY Daily Analysis 25th May 2026: AUDJPY opened Monday at 113.673 — above Friday close of 113.482 — and immediately showed London intent. A sweep down to 113.746 (taking out the Asian session lows), then a clean recovery to 113.926. That sweep-and-recover pattern on the 15m is classic ICT manipulation — grab the sell stops, then launch. Bias: bullish.
Key Levels at a Glance
| Level | Price | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Friday High (PDH) | 113.576 | Cleared on Monday open |
| Friday Low (PDL) | 113.268 | Deep support |
| Friday Close (PDC) | 113.482 | Weekend reference |
| Monday Open | 113.673 | Gap above PDH |
| Monday HOD | 113.926 | London session high |
| Monday LOD | 113.644 | Open area floor |
| 1H Bullish OB | 113.656–113.700 | Monday open demand base |
| 15m London Sweep | 113.746 | SSL swept and recovered |
| 15m Demand | 113.746–113.812 | Post-sweep demand zone |
| 15m Supply | 113.900–113.926 | HOD resistance |
| Next Target | 114.200+ | BSL cluster above |
ICT/SMC Framework — Sweep and Launch Pattern
The 15m structure tells the cleanest story today. AUDJPY London sweep 113.746 SSL cleared 25 May 2026 — the Asian session built stops below 113.746. London opened, swept them in a single 15m candle to 113.746, then reversed immediately and drove to 113.926 HOD. That is a textbook PO3 manipulation leg on the 15m. The sellers who got filled at 113.746 are now bagholders watching price 180 pips above their entry.
The 1H bullish OB at 113.656–113.700 is the structural anchor. Price opened at 113.673, briefly dipped to 113.644, then launched. That OB is now the weekly demand zone going forward. If price pulls back to 113.700 on thin liquidity, that is the re-entry for the bullish continuation to 114.200.
AUD JPY ICT demand zone 113.746 sweep recovery 25 May 2026 — the demand zone is now anchored between 113.746 and 113.812. Two 15m candles bounced off 113.800 in the London afternoon. As long as price holds above 113.746, the intraday structure is bullish. A push above 113.926 HOD targets 114.000 round number, then 114.200 BSL cluster.
Intraday Bias — Bullish, Sweep Confirmed
- Daily Bias — Bullish — London sweep-and-recover confirmed
- 15m Demand — 113.746–113.812 — post-sweep base, key support
- 1H OB — 113.656–113.700 — deep pullback re-entry
- 15m Supply — 113.900–113.926 — HOD resistance to clear
- Target 1 — 114.000 — round-number BSL
- Target 2 — 114.200 — daily BSL cluster
- Bear Invalidation — Close below 113.644 — sweep becomes failed bullish pattern
Session Breakdown — Risk-On Mood Supports AUD and JPY Crosses
AUDJPY is a risk-sentiment cross. AUD is running (see AUDUSD above), JPY is bid on its own merits (see USDJPY above). The two forces partially offset — but AUD momentum is winning today. AUDJPY price forecast 25 May 2026: the bullish structure from the sweep is intact. London closed near HOD. The 15m compression between 113.800 and 113.926 is either a launch pad or a consolidation before a deeper pullback.
Wednesday is the real catalyst session — AU CPI (AUD mover) and Tokyo CPI (JPY mover) both print. If both come in hot on inflation, AUDJPY could see a sharp directional move. For now, the structure is set, the sweep is confirmed, and the demand zone is clear.
Economic Events — Week Ahead
| Date | Event | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Mon 25 May | US Memorial Day | Thin volume |
| Wed 27 May | AU Monthly CPI + Tokyo CPI | High — both legs move |
| Thu 29 May | BOJ comments, US GDP | High |
| Fri 30 May | Japan CPI, AU PPI, US PCE | High — triple catalyst day |
Wednesday is a minefield for AUDJPY. AU CPI hot + Tokyo CPI hot = war between the two legs. Net effect is unclear — but the volatility will be real. Position light into Wednesday or hedge. Friday is the same issue times two.
Trade Setup Summary
- Long Setup 1 — Pullback to 113.800–113.812 — 15m demand re-entry
- Long Setup 2 — Pullback to 113.700 — 1H OB (wider stop needed)
- Target 1 — 113.926 — HOD clearance
- Target 2 — 114.000 — round-number BSL
- Target 3 — 114.200 — daily BSL cluster
- Stop — 113.700 for setup 1 — below sweep base
- Short Trigger — Only below 113.644 — sweep failure confirmed
The sweep printed. The demand zone held. The HOD is right there. Wednesday will either launch this thing to 114.200 or give us a messy retrace when CPI prints confuse the algos. Both are fine if you manage the position. We will be at the open with fresh analysis. The aspirin is already out.
