GBPUSD Daily Analysis 25th May 2026 — Cable Pushes Above Friday High, 1.35000 in Sight

GBPUSD Daily Analysis 25th May 2026: Cable is behaving itself. Friday closed at 1.34312. Monday opened at 1.34706 — a gap above the Friday high of 1.34632 — and London pushed it straight to 1.34958. The round-number BSL cluster at 1.35000 is right there. One decent push and it prints. Whether that happens today or Wednesday is the question.

Key Levels at a Glance

Level Price Notes
Friday High (PDH) 1.34632 Cleared on Monday open
Friday Low (PDL) 1.34168 Deep support
Friday Close (PDC) 1.34312 Weekend gap base
Monday Open 1.34706 Gap above PDH
Monday HOD 1.34958 London session high
Monday LOD 1.34706 Open = intraday floor
1H Bullish OB 1.34562–1.34607 Friday session base
15m Demand Zone 1.34706–1.34742 Monday open consolidation
15m Supply/HOD 1.34904–1.34958 London session ceiling
BSL Target 1.35000 Round-number buy-side pool

ICT/SMC Framework — Cable Wants the Round Number

The structure here is clean. GBPUSD bullish order block 1.34562 daily 25 May 2026 — Friday afternoon built a base between 1.34562 and 1.34607. Monday gap-up opened above that OB and above Friday high, confirming the buyers absorbed the Friday distribution. That is a textbook BOS on the daily — higher high above 1.34632, demand established, structure intact.

On the 1H, the bullish OB at 1.34562–1.34607 is the anchor. Price opened at 1.34706 — already 100 pips above that OB — and compressed between 1.34706 and 1.34742 for the first London hour. That compression is the 15m demand zone. Clean, tight, easy to manage risk against.

The 15m supply at 1.34904–1.34958 capped two London push attempts. Cable CHoCH 1.34706 intraday 25 May 2026 is where the intraday shift happened — below that and the gap fill comes back into play, targeting 1.34632. Above 1.34958 and there is nothing but retail stops clustered at 1.35000 to vacuum up. Smart money loves a round number. So do the algorithms. It is a stop hunt disguised as a breakout. Watch the reaction at 1.35000 carefully — it is not guaranteed to hold through.

Intraday Bias — Bullish, Capped at 1.35000

  • Daily Bias — Bullish — BOS above 1.34632 confirmed
  • 15m Demand — 1.34706–1.34742 — Monday open base
  • 15m Supply — 1.34904–1.34958 — London high zone
  • Primary Target — 1.35000 — round-number BSL
  • 1H OB Support — 1.34562–1.34607 — deep pullback level
  • Bearish Invalidation — Break below 1.34562 — OB mitigation flips bias

Session Breakdown — London Doing the Work

UK is on Spring Bank Holiday tomorrow, US Memorial Day today. Cable is running on European momentum and some Asian carryover. GBP USD ICT demand zone 1.34706 25 May 2026 has held as the intraday floor since the open. London has made two attempts at 1.34958 and pulled back both times. The third attempt — if it comes before 12:00 UTC — has the best chance of clearing it. After 12:00 UTC, liquidity thins out fast with no US session.

The risk is a fade back to 1.34742–1.34706 into the Asian open tonight, consolidating ahead of the UK bank holiday tomorrow. That would set up Wednesday’s NY open as the catalyst for the 1.35000 print. Either way, Cable is not looking weak here.

Economic Events — Week Ahead

Date Event Impact
Mon 25 May US Memorial Day No NY session
Tue 26 May UK Spring Bank Holiday London closed
Wed 27 May US Consumer Confidence Medium
Thu 29 May BOE speakers, US GDP Q1 revised High
Fri 30 May US PCE Inflation High

Cable price forecast 25 May 2026: above 1.34706, target 1.34958 then 1.35000. Watch the reaction at 1.35000 — first test could be a fake-out before continuation.

Trade Setup Summary

  • Long Setup — Pullback to 1.34706–1.34742 — 15m demand entry
  • Target 1 — 1.34958 — 15m supply zone
  • Target 2 — 1.35000 — round-number BSL
  • Stop — 1.34630 — below Friday high (gap fill invalidates)
  • Caution — 1.35000 reaction — could reverse hard; take partials
  • Short Trigger — Only below 1.34562 with confirmation

Round numbers are magnets. 1.35000 is sitting there like bait in a trap — which is exactly what it is. Take the long, bank partials at the number, and do not get greedy. The real move runs Wednesday when NY comes back. We will be here. Bring the coffee.

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